玉米连续跌停,越跌抛储越厉害,恶性循环。
qftt9981
2014-09-25 11:03:23
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玉米连续跌停,越跌抛储越厉害,恶性循环。
四川省春玉米丰收在望,预计可增产14万吨。
便宜30% ,美国猪肉兵临城下?
价格涨了30%的美国猪肉,还是比中国便宜;美国生猪会更加便宜。
中国生猪的价格一般每斤6元的时候,已经站到盈亏平衡点上,价格降至5元以下,就是亏本的命运,今年上半年,国内生猪均价大跌。5元/斤,这个价格水平基本上是美国生猪价格的常态,现在中国养殖户和养殖企业望尘莫及。
美国猪肉便宜的根源是饲料的便宜,饲料的便宜是因为粮食的便宜。玉米和小麦是饲料的主要成分,2013年底,中国小麦价格升至约2500元/吨,美国小麦约为1300元/吨,中美两国小麦价格差异约1200元/吨。
玉米方面,美国玉米价格2009年暴跌,在2009年中期跌至约900元/吨,而中国玉米价格从2005年起始终保持稳中上涨的趋势,于2013年底攀升至约2250元/吨,两国价格差额约为1250元/吨。
中国每年出栏的生猪在7亿头左右,世界第一;说到竞争力,与美国市场有不小的差距,如果市场一旦放开,廉价猪肉大量进入中国并不是天方夜谭。
Corn continuous limit, more or throwing storage more serious, vicious spiral.
Sichuan Province in spring maize harvest in sight, is expected to yield 140000 tons.
Cheap 30%, American pork The enemy approached the walls.?
Prices rose 30% American pork, or more than Chinese cheap; American pig will be cheaper.
Chinese hog prices generally 6 yuan per catty when, had stood to breakeven point, the price dropped to 5 yuan, is the fate of losing money, the first half of this year, the domestic pig price drops sharply. 5 yuan / Jin, the price level is America hog prices basically normal, now Chinese farmers and farming enterprises to catch up.
The root USA pork is cheap cheap feed, feed is cheap because food cheap. Corn and wheat are the main components of the feed, by the end of 2013, China wheat prices rose to about 2500 yuan / ton, USA wheat is about 1300 yuan / ton, the Sino US wheat price difference of about 1200 yuan / ton.
Corn, corn prices in 2009 American collapse, in the middle of 2009 dropped to about 900 yuan / ton, while the Chinese corn prices since 2005 has always maintain a steady rise trend, at the end of 2013, rising to about 2250 yuan / ton, the price difference between the two is about 1250 yuan / ton.
Chinese annual pig slaughter at around 700000000, the first in the world; when it comes to competitiveness, there is not a small gap and America market, if the market open, cheap pork into large Chinese not Arabian Nights.
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