【金声喻金】：周五黄金行情回顾及消息面利多后市展望
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周五宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">（8月mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">19日mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">）走势描述：
黄金宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">ETF大肆加仓，美国经济数据依旧低迷，minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">QE3预期升温，现货黄金再次刷新纪录高位。
日宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">K线图显示，现货金今日收于一根带较长上影线的大阳线。亚洲时段和欧洲时段早盘，现货金短暂横盘整理后震荡走高；欧洲时段午盘和纽约时段，现货金震荡回落后企稳于宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1850美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司一线。
现货黄金最高触及宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1,877.20美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司，最低下探至:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">1,820.85美元minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司，收报宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1,848.20美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司，上一交易日收报:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">1,824.80美元minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司，上涨宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">23.40美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司，涨幅mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1.28％。
基本面利好因素：
宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1. 全球最大的黄金上市交易基金:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">（ETF）--SPDR Gold Trust 表示，截至宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">8月mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">18日，其黄金持仓量大幅增加:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">14.85吨，至minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1286.83吨的一周高位，升幅逾宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1％。
宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">2. 美国经济周期研究所:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">（ECRI）周五发表声明称，美国宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">8月mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">12日止当周领先指标:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">（WLI）回落至minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">123.9，之前一周修正后为宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">127.6，前值为mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">127.9。
宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">3. 摩根大通周五在一份纪要中表示，预计美国minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">2011年第四季度国内生产总值宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">（GDP）年化增速将为mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1.0％，远低于之前预期的增长:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">2.5％。对于美国明年第一季度经济增速，该行预计将增长宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">0.5％，之前预期为增长:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">1.5％。
基本面利空因素：
宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1. 欧盟委员会mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">（European Commission）发言人mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">Amadeu afaj周五表示，欧盟仍在研究欧元区共同债券的可行性，有关该议题的议案只是被延后了。宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">afaj表示，欧盟委员会还未完成研究，但承诺稍后将会公布欧元区共同债券的研究报告。
技术面格局分析：
日宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">K线图显示，现货金今日收于一根带较长上影线的大阳线。技术面上，现货黄金日线阻力位位于宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">2,000美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司的整数关口和:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">1,900美元minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;
mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司的整数关口；支撑位则位于宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">5日均线处的mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1,803.26美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司和mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">8月mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">11日高点的mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">1,814.40美元mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">/盎司。
后市展望：
著名投资者加特曼宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">（Dennis Gartman）周五表示，尽管黄金涨势如虹，但他对黄金的看法已不如几日前乐观，高企的金价可能会打压买兴。
南非标准银行宋体;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;
mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">（Standard Bank）周五指出，黄金上市交易基金:#191919;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:
AR-SA">（ETF）买盘继续保持强劲，投资者预计金价仍将进一步走高，实物需求更为明显。随着季节性珠宝需求的升温，金价进一步上扬的可能性有所增加。
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