mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【综述回顾】

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">结束整理再次陷入连续2"Times New Roman"">个中阴线后，今日早盘现货金似有企稳之意，早盘温和推高，截止16:00"Times New Roman"">，黄金高及1494.70"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司，低探1485.40美元/mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">盎司，K"Times New Roman"">线呈小阳线；白银高及34.12"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司，低探33.76mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">美元/"Times New Roman"">盎司，K线呈小十字星。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【基本面】

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">美国供应管理学会上周五公布的数据显示，美国6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">月ISM"Times New Roman"">制造业采购经理人指数从5"Times New Roman"">月份的53.5"Times New Roman"">升至55.3，预期51.9mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">。美国商务部上周五公布的数据显示，经季节性因素调整后，美国5mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">月营建支出月率下降0.6％"Times New Roman"">，折合成年率为7534.8"Times New Roman"">亿美元，预期为持平。美国制造业数据意外走好，缓解了市场对美国经济复苏的担忧，市场风险偏好持续获得改善，提振美国股市上涨，也令金价承压。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">欧元区6"Times New Roman"">月份制造业采购经理人指数终值从5"Times New Roman"">月份的54.6"Times New Roman"">降至18个月低点52.0mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">，德国和法国的扩张步伐放缓，意大利、爱尔兰、西班牙和希腊则出现萎缩。穆迪警告法国长达10mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">年的住房市场繁荣景象或将终结，该国银行业可能会因此受到冲击。，

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">中国 6 "Times New Roman"">月份PMI 降至50.9mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">，5 "Times New Roman"">月份为52.0"Times New Roman"">。该指数连续三个月下降，表明在抗通胀政策下制造业增速继续放缓。PMI "Times New Roman"">指数接近50 "Times New Roman"">的分界线，市场认为进一步光紧缩的空间已经越来越小，对进一步紧缩的担忧在下降。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR
Gold Trustmso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">表示，其截至7"Times New Roman"">月2日止的黄金持仓量维持为1205.81吨，比6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">月30"Times New Roman"">日减少了2.42"Times New Roman"">吨。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【技术面】

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">黄金：均线系统呈死叉形态，5"Times New Roman"">日均线率先压制金价；布林线看，三轨齐下，下轨形成金价下滑的轨道，弱势一览无遗；MACDmso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">继续负值，DIF"Times New Roman"">与DEA双双加速下行；KDJmso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">继续低位盘恒。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">白银：均线系统呈现空头排列，5"Times New Roman"">日均线率先反压；布林线看三轨齐下，中下轨呈银价下行通道；MACD"Times New Roman"">继续呈负值；KDJ"Times New Roman"">再次死叉后继续低位运行；走势呈阴跌之势。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">盘面中值得注意的是，最近在金银齐跌之时，白银跌幅均数倍于黄金；而企稳之时，白银的涨幅甚至不及黄金。这显示白银的下跌空间还远远未及，所以可以比较深远的看空白银。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【操作建议】

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">继续维持早盘评点的看空思路。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">黄金：1495.00"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司（310.80mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">元/"Times New Roman"">克）可以介入建空，注意止损。

mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">白银：34.42"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司（7156mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">元/"Times New Roman"">千克）可以介入建空，注意止损。

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