mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【综述回顾】 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">今日早盘基本面平淡,现货金呈现震荡走低行情,截止15:30mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,黄金盘间高及1502.40"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司,低探1495.30美元/mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">盎司,K"Times New Roman"">线呈小阴;白银高及34.79"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司,低探34.23 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">美元/"Times New Roman"">盎司,K线呈倒“Tmso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">”型。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【基本面】 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">欧盟统计局30"Times New Roman"">日称,欧元区6"Times New Roman"">月CPI年率上升2.7%mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,与上个月持平,连续七个月超出欧洲央行2%mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">的上限。经济学家之前的预期年率上升2.8%mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">。欧洲央行行长特里谢周四在布鲁塞尔表示,当局当前对于通胀保持“高度警惕”。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">中国物流与采购联合会今日发布6"Times New Roman"">月中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI"Times New Roman"">),数据显示为50.9%"Times New Roman"">,环比回落1.1"Times New Roman"">个百分点。该指数继续保持在50%"Times New Roman"">以上,反映出当前经济继续保持增长,但增速回落态势仍在延续。从各分项指数来看,只有产成品库存指数有所上升,上升1mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">个百分点,其余各指数均不同程度回落。其中生产指数、新订单指数、积压订单指数、采购量指数、购进价格指数、原材料库存指数回落幅度超过1mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">个百分点,尤其以购进价格指数回落幅度为最大,达到3.6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">个百分点。 "Times New Roman"">近期盘间有一个特征:现货金银与美元双双下跌,说明近期黄金下跌来自于欧债危机缓和,避险盘离场,这种现象还将短期继续。美元指数已经五连阴了,短期内将有反弹,届时将对黄金形成极大的压力。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【技术面】 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">黄金:均线系统显示指标持续恶化,5mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">日均线死叉60"Times New Roman"">日均线后对金价形成反压;布林线三轨齐下,金价有重回下轨继续下探的需求;MACD"Times New Roman"">绿柱再次加长,DIF"Times New Roman"">与DEA加速下行,空头力度见增;随机指标再度跌下低位。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">白银:均线系统显示中短期均线压力明显,呈空头排列;布林线看,三轨齐下,走势业已形成下降通道;MACDmso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">维持弱市;随机指标再度弱化,或再死叉,看空。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">【操作建议】 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">继续看空思路。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">黄金:维持早评策略,1500"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司(311.95mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">元/"Times New Roman"">克)位置建空单,注意止损。 mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">白银:维持早评策略,34.69"Times New Roman"">美元/盎司(7214mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">元/"Times New Roman"">千克)位置建空单,注意止损。 "Times New Roman"">福州宝鑫盈战略发展中心
"Times New Roman"">根据以往经验,欧洲央行在即将加息前,通常都会发出“高度警惕”的提示。欧洲央行将于下周四(7mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">日)"Times New Roman"">公布最新利率决议,目前市场普遍预测央行将再度加息25"Times New Roman"">个基点至1.5%"Times New Roman"">,但随着经济增长放缓、商品价格高位回落,通胀压力可能减弱,欧洲央行将放缓7"Times New Roman"">月份之后的紧缩步伐。
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